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DATASET

Nitrogen and phosphorus loads to the sea under the High Ambition Scenario 2015-2054 (HAS-DB) - (v. apr.2024)

Collection: WPI : Water Pressure Indicators 

Description

This spatial dataset contains annual nutrient loads (Total Nitrogen and Total Phosphorus) for the High Ambitious Scenario for the period 2015-2054. These estimates were calculated at the outlets of European river basins using the GREEN model (version from April 2024, as described by Grizzetti et al. 2025).

Measures affecting anthropogenic nutrient inputs are the same as in the DB scenario, but nutrient load at the river basins outlet is calculated assuming a theoretical concentration of 2.5 mg N/l for TN and 0.1 mg P/l for TP when the modelled concentration in the DB scenario exceeds these threshold concentrations. Otherwise, the concentrations from the DB scenario are retained. See Grizzetti et al. (2025) for details.

The river basin hydrological data model is based on the Catchment Characterisation and Modelling approach (Vogt et al. 2007; https://data.jrc.ec.europa.eu/dataset/fe1878e8-7541-4c66-8453-afdae7469221).

Please consider that this dataset supersedes all previous versions (https://data.jrc.ec.europa.eu/dataset/40a7c964-d62d-4a68-810e-efe026558d4f and https://data.jrc.ec.europa.eu/dataset/f3c63d10-ba3f-4ddb-b674-abd6a9dbfd55)

Contact

Email
EU-HUB-WATER-AGRICULTURE (at) ec.europa.eu

Contributors

How to cite

Grizzetti, Bruna; Udias Moinelo, Angel; Vigiak, Olga; Pistocchi, Alberto; Aloe, Alberto; Bielza, Maria; Bisselink, Berny; Bouraoui, Faycal; De Meij, Alexander; Fellmann, Thomas; Hristov, Jordan; Macias Moy, Diego; Piroddi, Chiara; Pisoni, Enrico; Weiss, Franz; Zampieri, Matteo; Zanni, Michela (2025): Nitrogen and phosphorus loads to the sea under the High Ambition Scenario 2015-2054 (HAS-DB) - (v. apr.2024). European Commission, Joint Research Centre (JRC) [Dataset] PID: http://data.europa.eu/89h/45d3168c-2ba9-4e46-b4f7-eeb551efceb3

Keywords

agriculture nitrogen nutrient phosphorus scenario modeling waste water resource management environmental policy

Data access

Nitrogen and phosphorus loads to the sea under the High Ambition Scenario 2015-2054 (HAS-DB) - (v. apr.2024) - File geodatabase
Use conditions
European Commission reuse notice 
Access conditions
No limitations 
URL 

Publications

Publication
Effects of EU policy and climate change on future delivery of nutrients to European freshwater and seas
Grizzetti et al. 2025 Environ. Res. Lett. 20 124055
DOI
10.1088/1748-9326/ae1b7e

Geographic areas

Europe

Spatial coverage

Type Value
GML 
<gml:Polygon xmlns:gml="http://www.opengis.net/gml">  <gml:outerBoundaryIs>    <gml:LinearRing>      <gml:coordinates>-11,71.2 51,71.2 51,31.6 -11,31.6 -11,71.2</gml:coordinates>    </gml:LinearRing>  </gml:outerBoundaryIs></gml:Polygon>
GML 
<gml:Polygon xmlns:gml="http://www.opengis.net/gml/3.2">  <gml:exterior>    <gml:LinearRing>      <gml:posList>-11 71.2 51 71.2 51 31.6 -11 31.6 -11 71.2</gml:posList>    </gml:LinearRing>  </gml:exterior></gml:Polygon>
WKT 
POLYGON ((-11 71.2, 51 71.2, 51 31.6, -11 31.6, -11 71.2))

Temporal coverage

From date To date
2015-01-01 2054-01-01

Additional information

Published by
European Commission, Joint Research Centre
Created date
2025-12-16
Modified date
2025-12-22
Issued date
2025-12-22
Landing page
https://knowledge4policy.ec.europa.eu/water_en 
Language(s)
English
Data theme(s)
Agriculture, fisheries, forestry and food, Environment
Update frequency
irregular
Identifier
http://data.europa.eu/89h/45d3168c-2ba9-4e46-b4f7-eeb551efceb3
Popularity