Organisation: European Commission, Joint Research Centre
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Title: POTEnCIA Central-2018 scenario


The POTEnCIA Central-2018 scenario describes the projected evolution of the EU energy system until the year 2050 under the assumption that no further policies and measures are introduced beyond the end of 2017. The results show that both the energy and the carbon intensity of the European economy remain on a declining path in this scenario set-up, but will miss the mid-century GHG-neutrality target announced in 2018 by the EC. This evolution is driven by the continued impact of policies that are already in place in combination with technology progress, as well as by structural changes and the development of the prices of fossil fuels and of the CO2 allowances under the EU Emissions Trading System. In 2030, energy and greenhouse gas emission reduction targets set by the 2030 EU framework for climate and energy are not reached, indicating the need for additional policies and measures. The Central scenario was developed with the JRC´s energy model POTEnCIA and serves as reference point ...

How to cite
European Commission, Joint Research Centre (2019):  POTEnCIA Central-2018 scenario. European Commission, Joint Research Centre (JRC) [Dataset] PID:
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Additional information
Issue date 2019-10-29
Landing page
Geographic area European Union
Temporal coverage

From: 2000-01-01 – To: 2050-12-31

Update frequency unknown
Language English
Data theme(s) Energy; Science and technology

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