DATASET

Flood impacts and adaptation strategies under future scenarios

Collection: PESETAIV : Peseta IV 

Description

This dataset contains the input and output data used to appraise costs and benefits of different adaptation strategies, aimed at reducing river flood risk across Europe under future climate and socio-economic scenarios. All the data and methods have been developed in the PESETA IV

project and following research (see related publications)

Contact

Email
Luc.FEYEN (at) ec.europa.eu

Contributors

How to cite

Bianchi, Alessandra; Dottori, Francesco; Alfieri, Lorenzo; Mentaschi, Lorenzo; Feyen, Luc (2022): Flood impacts and adaptation strategies under future scenarios. European Commission, Joint Research Centre (JRC) [Dataset] doi: 10.2905/1019A72F-7B98-4318-8BAF-FD9E2C00A92C PID: http://data.europa.eu/89h/1019a72f-7b98-4318-8baf-fd9e2c00a92c

Keywords

adaptation climate change flood impacts river floods

Data access

Input-output data for the analysis of future flood risk scenarios under climate change and adaptation
URL 
  • Folder containing the input and output data used by script 06 (future flood risk scenarios under climate change and adaptation). For a complete description of each dataset see the documentation:

input-output data for the aggregation of results for future adaptation scenarios
URL 
  • Folder containing the input and output data used by script 07b (aggregation of results for future flood risk scenarios under climate change, socio-economic change and adaptation). For a complete description of each dataset see the documentation.

Input-output data for the analysis of future flood risk scenarios under climate, socio-economic change and adaptation
URL 
  • Folder containing the input and output data used by script 06b (future flood risk scenarios under climate change, socio-economic change and adaptation). For a complete description of each dataset see the documentation

Input-output data for the aggregation of results for future flood risk scenarios
URL 
  • Folder containing the input and output data used by script 07a (aggregation of results for future flood risk scenarios under climate change, socio-economic change and adaptation). For a complete description of each dataset see the documentation.

Input-output data for design of adaptation scenarios and cost-benefit analysis
URL 
  • Folder containing the input and output data used by scripts 06c,06d,06e (design of adaptation scenarios and related cost-benefit analysis

Code used for data analysis
Download 
  • Code used for data analysis. See the documentation for a description of each script

Impact maps for European regions
Download 
  • Dataset containing impact maps for European regions under different flood scenarios (return period), calculated for the present day. Available maps include i) economic damage (in euro) ii) population exposed; iii) built-up area exposed

input-output data for the identification of cost-effective adaptation scenarios
URL 
  • folder containing the input and output data used by script 07c (elaboration of cost-effective adaptation scenarios). For a complete description of each dataset see the documentation

input-output data for the analysis of future flood risk scenarios under climate change
URL 
  • folder containing the input and output data used by script 05 (analysis of future flood risk scenarios under climate change). For a complete description of each dataset see the documentation.

Map of flood protection standards in Europe
Download 
  • Map of estimated flood protection standards in Europe. It is a raster map in GEOTIF format at 500m resolution. Cell values indicate the estimated return period of design (in years) of local protection structures against river floods. The extent includes all countries in geographical Europe bar Russia, Belarus, Ukraine, and countries in the Caucasus (due to lack of information). For more details see Dottori et al. (2022).

Dataset description
Download 
  • Description of all the data distributions included in the dataset

Code input tables
Download 
  • Folder containing a series of input tables with geographical, climate and socio-economic data used by the code scripts. See the dedicated documentation for a description of each code

Adaptation measures data
Download 
  • Data and elaborations used in the design of flood adaptation measures, derived from literature review (such as construction costs, damage reduction rate etc)

Input maps for Europe
Download 
  • Folder containing input geographical maps for Europe used by the code. See the documentation for a description of each map

Publications

Publication 2023
Cost-effective adaptation strategies to rising river flood risk in Europe
Dottori, F., Mentaschi, L., Bianchi, A., Alfieri, L. and Feyen, L., Cost-effective adaptation strategies to rising river flood risk in Europe, NATURE CLIMATE CHANGE, ISSN 1758-678X (online), 13, 2023, p. 196–202, JRC125385.
  • NATURE PUBLISHING GROUP, LONDON, ENGLAND
Publication page 
  • Abstract

    River flood risk in Europe could rise to unprecedented levels due to global warming and continued development in flood-prone areas. Here, we appraise the potential of four key adaptation strategies to reduce flood risk across Europe based on flood risk modelling and cost–benefit analysis. We find that reducing flood peaks using detention areas is economically the most attractive option. In a scenario without climate mitigation (3 °C global warming), they can lower projected flood losses in Europe by 2100 from €44(30–61) billion to €8.1(5.5–10.7) billion per year and lower population exposed by 84% (75–90%) or achieve a risk level comparable to today. The economic investment required over 2020–2100 would provide a return of €4(3.5–6.3) for each €1 invested. The risk reduction potential of strengthening of dykes is somewhat lower, at 70% (59–83%) for a comparable annual investment. Implementing building-based flood proofing and relocation measures is less cost-effective but can reduce impacts in localized areas.

Publication
Adaptation is cost-effective to offset rising river ood risk in Europe
Dottori et al. 2022

Geographic areas

Europe

Additional information

Published by
European Commission, Joint Research Centre
Created date
2022-09-16
Modified date
2023-01-27
Issued date
2022-09-16
Landing page
https://joint-research-centre.ec.europa.eu/peseta-projects/jrc-peseta-iv/river-floods_en 
Data theme(s)
Economy and finance, Environment
Update frequency
irregular
Identifier
http://data.europa.eu/89h/1019a72f-7b98-4318-8baf-fd9e2c00a92c
Popularity