DATASET

EFAS seasonal outlook

Collection: CEMS-EFAS : European Flood Awareness System 

Description

This data set provides a pan-European seasonal outlook on flow anomalies and their probability of occurrence, aggregated over regions.

River flow anomaly and its probability of occurrence for the next 8 weeks, aggregated over regions. The anomaly is calculated from the current seasonal forecast (produced by forcing the LISFLOOD model with the 51 members ensemble from the ECMWF System 4 seasonal forecast) with respect to the 90th and 10th percentiles of the simulated discharge from a 24-year model climatology run (1990 - 2013). The seasonal forecast outlook plots are updated on a weekly basis with the latest weekly averaged water balance. A new seasonal forecast outlook (map and plots) is generated at the beginning of each month when the new forecast becomes available (usually on the 8th of the month).

This information is produced once a week by the operational EFAS (www.efas.eu) for the entire EFAS domain in order to provide the EFAS partners with a first glimpse of an upcoming seasonal tendency.

Contact

Email
peter.salamon (at) ec.europa.eu

Contributors

How to cite

European Commission, Joint Research Centre (JRC) (2017): EFAS seasonal outlook. European Commission, Joint Research Centre (JRC) [Dataset] PID: http://data.europa.eu/89h/f9a70ea6-4bba-4335-bfc5-793044622613

Keywords

pan European Copernicus Copernicus Emergency Management Service ECMWF EFAS flow anomaly probabilistic forecast seasonal forecast

Data access

EFAS WMS-T (Web Map Service Time)
URL 
  • EFAS partners have the possibility to access and download selected products from the operational EFAS by using this password-protected OGC service.

EFAS Sensor Observation Service (SOS)
URL 
  • EFAS partners have the possibility to access and download selected products from the operational EFAS by using this password-protected OGC service.

EFAS seasonal outlook
URL 
  • This data set can be viewed by EFAS partners online under www.efas.eu by activating the layer EFAS seasonal outlook

Spatial coverage

Type Value
GML
<gml:Envelope srsName="http://www.opengis.net/def/crs/OGC/1.3/CRS84"><gml:lowerCorner>-11.5 27</gml:lowerCorner><gml:upperCorner>41 67</gml:upperCorner></gml:Envelope>
GEO
POLYGON((-11.5 67,41 67,41 27,-11.5 27,-11.5 67))
GEO
{"type":"Polygon","crs":{"type":"name","properties":{"name":"urn:ogc:def:crs:OGC:1.3:CRS84"}},"coordinates":[[[-11.5,67],[41,67],[41,27],[-11.5,27],[-11.5,67]]]}

Lineage information

No additional information

Additional information

Published by
European Commission, Joint Research Centre
Created date
2021-04-23
Modified date
2020-09-11
Issued date
2017-03-06
Landing page
https://www.efas.eu/ 
Language(s)
English
Data theme(s)
Environment, Science and technology
Update frequency
unknown
Identifier
http://data.europa.eu/89h/f9a70ea6-4bba-4335-bfc5-793044622613
Popularity
13 Jul 2022: 1 visits