Organisation: European Commission, Joint Research Centre
Point of contact:

Title: EFAS seasonal outlook


This data set provides a pan-European seasonal outlook on flow anomalies and their probability of occurrence, aggregated over regions.

River flow anomaly and its probability of occurrence for the next 8 weeks, aggregated over regions. The anomaly is calculated from the current seasonal forecast (produced by forcing the LISFLOOD model with the 51 members ensemble from the ECMWF System 4 seasonal forecast) with respect to the 90th and 10th percentiles of the simulated discharge from a 24-year model climatology run (1990 - 2013). The seasonal forecast outlook plots are updated on a weekly basis with the latest weekly averaged water balance. A new seasonal forecast outlook (map and plots) is generated at the beginning of each month when the new forecast becomes available (usually on the 8th of the month).

This information is produced once a week by the operational EFAS ( for the entire EFAS domain in order to provide the EFAS partners with a first glimpse of an upcoming ...

How to cite
European Commission, Joint Research Centre (2017):  EFAS seasonal outlook. European Commission, Joint Research Centre (JRC) [Dataset] PID:
Related resources

Data access

Additional information
Issue date 2017-03-06
Landing page
Update frequency as needed
Language English
Data theme(s) Environment; Science and technology
EuroVoc domain(s) 36 SCIENCE
EuroVoc concept(s) hydrology
Geographic information

No additional information

Geographic bounding box

67° N, 41° E, 27° S, -11.5° W

Coordinate Reference System ETRS89 / LAEA Europe

Please be aware that the information and links provided in the metadata above are maintained in distributed and heterogeneous information systems. Although we strive to maintain and keep links and information updated, this may not always be possible because of changes that are not registered and updated in the relevant information systems. Please, help us to maintain the system updated by indicating broken links or any other outdated information by contacting the relevant contact point. You can also inform us using the "Contact" link of this page.