DATASET

Simulating the battery price and the car-mix in key electro-mobility markets via model coupling

Collection: TransportToolData : Transport Assessment Tool Data Collection 

Description

This file contains the data reported in https://doi.org/10.1080/17477778.2020.1781556. This work was based on the PTTMAM model: https://ec.europa.eu/jrc/en/pttmam

Contact

Email
jonatan.gomez-vilchez (at) ec.europa.eu

Contributors

How to cite

Gomez Vilchez, Jonatan; Thiel, Christian (2020): Simulating the battery price and the car-mix in key electro-mobility markets via model coupling. European Commission, Joint Research Centre (JRC) [Dataset] PID: http://data.europa.eu/89h/865ba2bf-e083-4dfa-994e-bcc7204ac95d

Keywords

electric vehicles automotive simulation system dynamics

Data access

Simulating the battery price and the car-mix in key electro-mobility markets via model coupling
URL 

Publications

Publication
Simulating the battery price and the car-mix in key electro-mobility markets via model coupling
Gomez Vilchez, J. and Thiel, C., Simulating the battery price and the car-mix in key electro-mobility markets via model coupling, JOURNAL OF SIMULATION, ISSN 1747-7778 (online), 14 (4), 2020, p. 242-259, JRC121037.
  • TAYLOR & FRANCIS LTD, ABINGDON, ENGLAND
  • Abstract

    This paper describes the modelling process of soft-linking two system dynamics models of the automotive ecosystem: the Powertrain Technology Transition Market Agent model and the Transport, Energy, Economics, Environment model. The objective of this work is to explore future battery electric and plug-in hybrid electric powertrain deployment in key electro-mobility markets: China, European Union, India, Japan, Norway and the United States. Two main scenarios are constructed for this purpose: ‘Base’ and ‘Alternative’. The latter, which consists in setting stricter CO2 emission standards for new cars and introducing electric car purchase incentives, leads to a combined stock of almost 130 million electric cars in 2030. Yet, conventional car technology continues to dominate the car-mix in the investigated markets under this scenario. By soft-linking the two models and adding information from the electric bus market, a more realistic representation of the historical battery price evolution is obtained. Due to the uncertain evolution of the battery price, sensitivity analysis is performed and simulations with faster growth in electric car deployment identified. We conclude that the battery price remains a crucial explanatory variable for annual electric car sales in simulation exercises.

Additional information

Published by
European Commission, Joint Research Centre
Created date
2022-02-02
Modified date
2022-02-15
Issued date
2020-06-28
Data theme(s)
Transport
Update frequency
unknown
Identifier
http://data.europa.eu/89h/865ba2bf-e083-4dfa-994e-bcc7204ac95d
Popularity
11 Jun 2022: 1 visits