GDO Indicator for Forecasting Unusually Wet and Dry Conditions SPI-1 based on the forecast of UK Meteorological Office (version 1.0.0)

Description

This layer provides an early warning of persistent extreme wet and dry precipitation events over the world derived from 1-month Standardized Precipitation Index (SPI-1). The forecasts of SPI are derived from the forecasted precipitation provided by the UK Meteorological Office (UKMO) to the Copernicus C3S probabilistic multi-system seasonal forecast ensemble. The early warning is plotted only when and where the forecast is considered robust (with at least 40% of the ensemble members associated with extreme forecasts) and associated with relative extreme values (SPI lower than -1). The colors indicate the return period of the intensity and the coherency of the ensemble members of the forecast model according to the reference period that spans from 1993 to 2016.

Contact

Email: JRC-EMS-DROUGHT (at) ec.europa.eu

Contributors

European and Global Drought Observatories, EDO

How to cite

European Commission, Joint Research Centre (JRC) (2024): GDO Indicator for Forecasting Unusually Wet and Dry Conditions SPI-1 based on the forecast of UK Meteorological Office (version 1.0.0). European Commission, Joint Research Centre (JRC) [Dataset] PID: http://data.europa.eu/89h/83324918-494e-4557-8003-94e5af04a51d

Keywords

CEMS Copernicus European Drought Observatory (EDO) Forecasts Global Drought Observatory (GDO) Precipitation SPI UK Meteorological Office

Data access

Data Download URL

Use conditions: Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International
Access conditions: No limitations

URL

Indicator for Forecasting Extreme Wet and Dry Conditions Factsheet

Use conditions: European Commission reuse notice
Access conditions: No limitations

Download

Factsheet

Publications

Publication

Evaluation of a New Precipitation-Based Index for Global Seasonal Forecasting of Unusually Wet and Dry Periods

Lavaysse, C., Stockdale, T., Mccormick, N. and Vogt, J., Evaluation of a New Precipitation-Based Index for Global Seasonal Forecasting of Unusually Wet and Dry Periods, WEATHER AND FORECASTING, ISSN 0882-8156 (online), 35 (4), 2020, p. 1189-1202, JRC117954.

URL

Geographic areas

World

Spatial coverage

GML

<gml:Polygon xmlns:gml="http://www.opengis.net/gml">  <gml:outerBoundaryIs>    <gml:LinearRing>      <gml:coordinates>-180,90 180,90 180,-90 -180,-90 -180,90</gml:coordinates>    </gml:LinearRing>  </gml:outerBoundaryIs></gml:Polygon>

GML

<gml:Polygon xmlns:gml="http://www.opengis.net/gml/3.2">  <gml:exterior>    <gml:LinearRing>      <gml:posList>-180 90 180 90 180 -90 -180 -90 -180 90</gml:posList>    </gml:LinearRing>  </gml:exterior></gml:Polygon>

WKT

POLYGON ((-180 90, 180 90, 180 -90, -180 -90, -180 90))

Temporal coverage

From date	To date
1993-01-01	N/A

Additional information

Published by: European Commission, Joint Research Centre
Created date: 2024-05-24
Modified date: 2024-05-29
Issued date: 2024-05-24
Landing page: https://drought.emergency.copernicus.eu/
Language(s): English
Data theme(s): Environment
Update frequency: monthly
Identifier: http://data.europa.eu/89h/83324918-494e-4557-8003-94e5af04a51d
Popularity: 30 Nov 2024: 1 visits