GDO Indicator for Forecasting Unusual Warm and Cool Conditions based on the forecast of DWD, 3-month lead time (version 1.0.0)

Description

This layer provides an early warning of extreme temperature conditions over the world based on accumulated intensity of daily temperature exceedances of the forecast with lead times ranging from 0 to 3 months. These are derived from the forecasted daily maximum and minimum temperatures relative to the 10th/90th percentile of the climatology provided by the Deutscher Wetterdienst (DWD) through the Copernicus Climate Change Service (C3S). The early warning is plotted only when and where the forecast is considered robust (with at least 40% of the ensemble members associated with extreme forecasts) and associated with relative extreme values (based on hindcasts). The colors indicate the return period of the intensity and the coherency of the ensemble members of the forecast model according to the reference period that spans from 1993 to 2016.

Contact

Email: JRC-EMS-DROUGHT (at) ec.europa.eu

Contributors

DWD Deutscher Wetterdienst
European and Global Drought Observatories, EDO

How to cite

European Commission, Joint Research Centre (JRC) (2025): GDO Indicator for Forecasting Unusual Warm and Cool Conditions based on the forecast of DWD, 3-month lead time (version 1.0.0). European Commission, Joint Research Centre (JRC) [Dataset] PID: http://data.europa.eu/89h/5f5dddc0-a09c-4ea3-b46c-c8eb87539feb

Keywords

CEMS Copernicus DWD European Drought Observatory Extreme Temperature Forecast Global Drought Observatory Temperature

Data access

Data Download URL

Use conditions: Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International
Access conditions: No limitations

URL

Indicator for Forecasting Unusual Warm and Cool Conditions Factsheet

Use conditions: European Commission reuse notice
Access conditions: No limitations

Download

Factsheet

Geographic areas

World

Spatial coverage

GML

<gml:Polygon xmlns:gml="http://www.opengis.net/gml">  <gml:outerBoundaryIs>    <gml:LinearRing>      <gml:coordinates>-180,90 180,90 180,-90 -180,-90 -180,90</gml:coordinates>    </gml:LinearRing>  </gml:outerBoundaryIs></gml:Polygon>

GML

<gml:Polygon xmlns:gml="http://www.opengis.net/gml/3.2">  <gml:exterior>    <gml:LinearRing>      <gml:posList>-180 90 180 90 180 -90 -180 -90 -180 90</gml:posList>    </gml:LinearRing>  </gml:exterior></gml:Polygon>

WKT

POLYGON ((-180 90, 180 90, 180 -90, -180 -90, -180 90))

Temporal coverage

From date	To date
2025-10-01	N/A

Additional information

Published by: European Commission, Joint Research Centre
Created date: 2025-09-12
Modified date: 2025-10-06
Issued date: 2025-09-11
Landing page: https://drought.emergency.copernicus.eu/
Language(s): English
Data theme(s): Environment
Update frequency: monthly
Identifier: http://data.europa.eu/89h/5f5dddc0-a09c-4ea3-b46c-c8eb87539feb
Popularity