Description
In this study we present probabilistic projections of Extreme Sea Levels (ESL) until the end of the 21st century along the global coastline, by considering the contribution of mean sea level, tides, waves and storm surges. Between the year 2000 and 2100 we project a very likely (90% probability) increase of the global average 100-year ESL of 34-76 cm under a moderate-emission-mitigation-policy scenario, and of 58-172 cm under a business as usual scenario. Intensification of the frequency of the design conditions is projected under both of the RCP scenarios for most of the shorelines, implying for timely actions towards coastal adaptation.
Contact
Contributors
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- Michail Vousdoukas
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0000-0003-2655-6181
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- Lorenzo Mentaschi
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0000-0002-2967-9593
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- Evangelos Voukouvalas
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0000-0002-8812-2613
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- Martin Verlaan
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0000-0001-7181-3955
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- Svetlana Jevrejeva
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- Luke Jackson
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0000-0001-6834-8255
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- Luc Feyen
How to cite
Vousdoukas, Michail; Mentaschi, Lorenzo; Voukouvalas, Evangelos; Verlaan, Martin; Jevrejeva, Svetlana; Jackson, Luke; Feyen, Luc (2018): Global Extreme Sea Level projections. European Commission, Joint Research Centre (JRC) [Dataset] doi: 10.2905/jrc-liscoast-10012 PID: http://data.europa.eu/89h/jrc-liscoast-10012
Keywords
Climate Change Coastal Zone Extreme Events Mean Sea Level Sea Level Rise Storm Surge Level Tides Waves
Data access
100-year event Total Water Level along the global coastline for the period 2015 - 2099 under the RCP45 emissions scenario, including the 5th, 50th and 95th quantiles. Similar data are included also for the contributing components: mean sea level, tides and extreme weather events (wave setup+storm surge).
100-year event Total Water Level along the global coastline for the period 1980 - 2014, including the 5th, 50th and 95th quantiles. Similar data are included also for the contributing components: mean sea level, tides and extreme weather events (wave setup+storm surge).
100-year event Total Water Level along the global coastline for the period 2015 - 2099 under the RCP85 emissions scenario, including the 5th, 50th and 95th quantiles. Similar data are included also for the contributing components: mean sea level, tides and extreme weather events (wave setup+storm surge).
Temporal coverage
| From date | To date |
|---|---|
| 1980-01-01 | 2099-12-31 |
Additional information
- Published by
- European Commission, Joint Research Centre
- Created date
- 2018-12-14
- Modified date
- 2020-02-26
- Issued date
- 2018-04-18
- Landing page
- https://ec.europa.eu/jrc/
- Language(s)
- English
- Data theme(s)
- Environment, Science and technology
- Update frequency
- irregular
- Identifier
- http://data.europa.eu/89h/jrc-liscoast-10012
- Popularity
-