Organisation: European Commission, Joint Research Centre
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Title: AgMIP - Agricultural non-CO2 emission reduction potential in the context of the 1.5 °C target


Agricultural methane and nitrous oxide emissions represent around 10–12% of total anthropogenic greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions and have a key role to play in achieving a 1.5 °C (above pre-industrial) climate stabilization target. Using a multi-model assessment approach, we quantify the potential contribution of agriculture to the 1.5 °C target and decompose the mitigation potential by emission source, region and mitigation mechanism. The results show that the livestock sector will be vital to achieve emission reductions consistent with the 1.5 °C target mainly through emission-reducing technologies or structural changes. Agriculture may contribute emission reductions of 0.8–1.4 Gt of CO2-equivalents (CO2e) per year at just US$20 per tCO2e in 2050. Combined with dietary changes, emission reductions can be increased to 1.7–1.8 GtCO2e per year. At carbon prices compatible with the 1.5 °C target, agriculture could even provide average emission savings of 3.9 GtCO2e per year in 2050, which ...

Stefan Frank 0000-0001-5702-8547
Petr Havlik 0000-0001-5551-5085
Elke Stehfest 0000-0003-3016-2679
Hans van Meijl 0000-0002-2455-6869
Peter Witzke 0000-0001-6237-8031
Ignacio Perez Dominguez 0000-0002-0279-6263
Michiel van Dijk 0000-0002-5207-7304
Jonathan Doelman 0000-0002-6842-573X
Thomas Fellmann 0000-0002-4798-329X
Jason F.L. Koopman 0000-0002-2963-0650
Andrzej Tabeau 0000-0002-4808-1220
Hugo Valin 0000-0002-0618-773X
How to cite
Frank, Stefan; Havlik, Petr; Stehfest, Elke; van Meijl, Hans; Witzke, Peter; Perez Dominguez, Ignacio; van Dijk, Michiel; Doelman, Jonathan; Fellmann, Thomas; Koopman, Jason F.L.; Tabeau, Andrzej; Valin, Hugo (2018):  AgMIP - Agricultural non-CO2 emission reduction potential in the context of the 1.5 °C target. European Commission, Joint Research Centre (JRC) [Dataset] PID:
Related resources


  • publication Agricultural non-CO2 emission reduction potential in the context of the 1.5 °C target


Additional information
Last modified 2018-12-04
Issue date 2018-12-16
Landing page
Geographic area World
Temporal coverage

From: 2010-01-01 – To: 2070-12-31

Update frequency unknown
Language English
Data theme(s) Agriculture, fisheries, forestry and food; Environment

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